Cov kws tshaj lij pom nyiaj hauv kab dhau lub thawv chaos

Congestion ntawm thawv nkoj nyob rau sab qaum teb Hiav txwv, kim drayage thauj, thawv tsis txaus: German kev lag luam tau qw nrov nyob rau hauv cov xwm txheej no rau qee lub sijhawm. Tsis muaj kev pab cuam pom nyob rau hauv lub sij hawm luv luv, tab sis nyob rau hauv lub sij hawm ntev. Txawm hais tias cov kws tshaj lij ntawm cov kws tshaj lij ntawm Bochum-based software tuam txhab Setlog xav tias qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev kub ntxhov tam sim no yuav kav mus txog xyoo 2023, lawv tau kwv yees tias cov nqi thauj khoom hiav txwv yuav txo qis hauv peb lub hlis twg ntawm 2022.

Kev tshuaj xyuas ntawm 80 Setlog cov neeg siv khoom thiab cov khoom lag luam los ntawm Lub Rau Hli 22 kuj qhia tau tias: Cov neeg siv khoom lag luam nrawm nrawm tau kawm los ntawm lawv txoj kev nyuaj siab thiab tam sim no xaj lawv cov khoom xav tau nyob rau nruab nrab ib lub lis piam ua ntej lawv tau ua hauv 2020 thiab ua ntej tus kab mob coronavirus pandemic, yog li txo qis. . Lwm qhov txiaj ntsig ntawm kev tsom xam: lawv tsis hloov lawv cov khoom lag luam los ntawm Far East mus rau Tebchaws Europe.

Tom qab ntawm Shanghai kev kaw tseg, tshem tawm cov nkoj thauj khoom thauj thiab kev tawm tsam hauv qee qhov chaw nres nkoj German ua rau muaj teeb meem loj rau kev lag luam: Raws li Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), cov thawv ntim khoom muaj peev xwm ntawm 150,{ {1}} txheem thawv tos hu rau ntawm Bremerhaven thiab Hamburg hauv German Bay ib leeg. Qhov xwm txheej tseem ceeb tshaj tawm ntawm cov chaw nres nkoj ntawm Rotterdam thiab Antwerp.

"Qhov kev tshwm sim tsis yog tsuas yog ncua sij hawm xwb tab sis kuj yog qhov tsis txaus ntawm cov ntim khoom. Kev hloov mus rau cov chaw nres nkoj me yog teeb meem vim tias lawv tsis muaj chaw thiab muaj kev ruaj ntseg rau kev thauj mus rau hinterland. Yog tias txoj kev tsheb ciav hlau tsis yog lwm txoj hauv kev, kev thauj mus los ntawm cov tsheb thauj khoom kim heev tsuas yog kev xaiv xwb. ” hais qhia Ralf Duester, tus tswv cuab ntawm Pawg Thawj Coj ntawm Setlog.

Cov chaw muab kev pabcuam logistics tseem ntsib teeb meem ntawm kev tsis tuaj yeem txhawb nqa lawv lub peev xwm vim tsis muaj neeg ua haujlwm. Duester tsis xav tias yuav muaj kev txhim kho hauv cov nqi thauj khoom hiav txwv hauv lub sijhawm luv luv - tab sis nyob rau lub sijhawm ntev los ntawm lub quarter thib plaub ntawm lub xyoo no yog tias cov tswv nkoj tseem ua si nrog.

Patrick Merkel, tus thawj coj ntawm Prologue Solutions, pom zoo: "Kev nce nqi, kev hloov pauv ntawm cov paj laum thiab cov nqi siab hauv ntau qhov chaw qhia tias cov nqi yuav poob." Vim qhov xwm txheej ntawm thaj chaw thiab qhov tshwm sim ntawm tus kabmob coronavirus, cov chaw pabcuam kev thauj mus los yuav xav tias yuav muaj kev lag luam tsawg dua nyob rau ib nrab xyoo tom ntej. Cov neeg xa khoom kuj tau txais txiaj ntsig los ntawm cov tswv nkoj uas tau tsim muaj peev xwm ntau dua.

Vim yog qhov xwm txheej no, raws li kev txheeb xyuas Setlog, lub sijhawm hla hiav txwv freight ntawm Far East mus rau sab hnub poob chaw nres nkoj tau siv sijhawm nruab nrab ntawm 42.5 hnub. Rau kev sib piv: hauv 2021 nws yog 41.6 hnub, hauv 2020 nyob ib ncig ntawm 35. Ua ntej muaj kev sib kis (2019), lub sijhawm thauj mus los yog 31 hnub. Hauv ob xyoos dhau los, txog li 30 feem pua ​​​​ntawm cov khoom lag luam tau lig vim kev kaw, kev tsim khoom qeeb thiab lub sijhawm thauj mus los ntev, raws li Setlog. Txawm li cas los xij, cov neeg yuav khoom ntawm cov neeg siv khoom siv ceev ceev tau tswj xyuas qhov feem pua ​​​​ntawm cov khoom tuaj txog lig rau peb mus rau tsib feem pua ​​​​piv rau lub sijhawm ua ntej-Covid hauv kev xa cov xaj tom ntej los ntawm qhov nruab nrab ntawm ib lub lis piam.

Txawm hais tias qee qhov kev lag luam tab tom xav txog kev tsim khoom dual rau cov khoom lag luam thiab cov khoom lag luam, nrog rau kev rov ua dua tshiab thiab ze-shoring, qhov kev tshuaj ntsuam qhia tau hais tias cov kws tshaj lij rau cov neeg siv khoom lag luam ceev ceev tsis tau tsiv mus rau Tebchaws Europe lossis Lub Tebchaws Yelemees. Tsuas yog ib mus rau ob feem pua ​​​​ntawm lawv qhov ntim tag nrho ntawm cov ris tsho yog tsim nyob rau sab hnub tuaj Europe lossis North Africa - qhov no tsis tau hloov pauv txij thaum pib muaj kev sib kis. Qaib ntxhw txoj kev sib koom kuj tseem nyob tas li ntawm 11.5 feem pua, Tuam Tshoj yog nyob ntawm 11.0 feem pua ​​. Txawm li cas los xij, cov neeg xa khoom hauv Bangladesh thiab Nyab Laj tuaj yeem tau txais kev lag luam ntau dua. Bangladesh txoj kev sib koom tau nce los ntawm 28.0 feem pua ​​​​rau 32.0 feem pua ​​​​thaum lub sijhawm muaj kev sib kis, Nyab Laj tau los ntawm 4.5 feem pua ​​​​rau 7.3 feem pua.

Qhov tshwm sim ntawm Covid-19 pom tau tias ua rau muaj kev hloov pauv hauv qee lub tuam txhab. Lawv tab tom nqis peev hauv cov tswv yim thiab cov txheej txheem los ua kom muaj cov khoom muag thiab muaj peev xwm ua rau muaj kev hloov pauv ntau dua rau txhua qhov kev hloov pauv tsis tau npaj tseg hauv cov khoom siv. "Ntau thiab ntau lub tuam txhab tuaj rau peb los kawm txog kev siv software kom tau txais kev pom tseeb ntxiv hauv cov saw hlau thiab qhia rau txhua tus neeg koom tes txog kev hloov pauv hauv lub sijhawm tiag tiag," Duester qhia.

"Rau cov thawj tswj hwm no muaj thiab muaj peev xwm tam sim no suav ntau dua li kev txuag nqi." Nws paub cov tuam txhab uas ua kom paub tseeb tias cov khoom lossis cov khoom yuav tsum muaj nyob rau hauv ob qhov chaw - ntawm txhua qhov chaw. "Cov tuam txhab lag luam yuav tsis ntev tom qab ntsuas cov neeg yuav khoom raws li kev txuag nqi, tab sis ua kom lwm cov txheej txheem," tus thawj tswj hwm Setlog kwv yees.